Monday, April 14, 2008

Predicting Lake Levels - UPDATED

(Originally Posted Tuesday, March 18th -- Lake Level 779.16 (9.16) )

From NOAA

Historical Crests ------- Likelihood of Reaching Level

(1) 12.23 ft on 04/25/1993 ------- 7% (adjusted April 1 to 48%)

(2) 11.49 ft on 06/05/2004 -- (20% adj. Apr 1 to 60%) SURPASSED 4.14.08

(3) 11.02 ft on 06/07/2000 -- (30% adj. Apr1 to 90%) SURPASSED 4.11.08

(4) 10.58 ft on 04/07/2007 ------ 78% (SURPASSED 4.1.2008)

(5) 10.46 ft on 08/30/2007 ------ 81% (SURPASSED 3.29.08)

(6) 9.77 ft on 04/23/1998 -------- 94% (SURPASSED 3.22.08)

(7) 9.73 ft on 04/28/1999 -------- 96% (SURPASSED 3.22.08)

(8) 9.45 ft on 03/23/1990 ------- 98% (SURPASSED 3.20.08)

(9) 9.19 ft on 03/21/1994 ------- 100% (SURPASSED 3.19.08)

(10) 9.02 ft on 03/14/1997 ------ SURPASSED